Thursday, September 18, 2008

I disagree...

It was with interest that I read the Western Mail today, and in particular the article detailing predictions made by Dr Denis Balsom about the next General Election results. I just can't agree with some of them, and having gone through the past few years' results for every seat, and considering things carefully, I really think things will be different. Once a general election is called, I will put my predictions up on this blog - I promise. And not the Plaid spin on things, but my own personal view. But for now, here are the seats I think Plaid will definitely win:


Aberconwy (though it will take a lot of work)
Arfon
Ceredigion
Dwyfor Meirionnydd
Dwyrain Caerfyrddin a Dinefwr
Llanelli
Ynys Mon (it will require a lot of work, but we will do it. And no Denis, Albert doesn't have a huge core support in Caergybi. Just look at the local election results there)

I also think I'll be adding to that list as it gets closer to the election.Undoubtedly, it will be our best ever result. Indeed, I think it could be extraordinary.. After all, a lot of people still remember what happened to Wales under the last Tory government...

I truly and honestly believe that Plaid Cymru is the only party who can offer the people of Wales what they need and what they deserve, and that in this election, people in non-traditional Plaid areas will be persuaded to change their allegiances. People used to think that a vote for Plaid in a general election was a wasted one, as they could never form a UK government even if they won every seat in Wales. That attitude is changing, and people know that if Wales is to ever gain greater legislating power, we need a strong Plaid team at Westminster to deliver that. A vote for Plaid Cymru will be a vote for the only party who puts the people of Wales first. Every other party is tied to its London bosses, and will always be overshadowed and dominated by that. We're free from such shackles and can offer a different and better Wales to the electorate. And that's why we'll win those seats. Simple.

5 comments:

Cnicht said...

bydd meirionydd nant conwy yn amhosib i'w henill yn yr etholiad nesaf gan na fydd yr eholaeth yn bodoli

Heledd Fychan said...

Damia, wrth gwrs! Diolch.. Wna'i newid o rwan.

Hen Ferchetan said...

I was quite suprised to see Balsom calling Aberconwy for Plaid, I see it going Tory myself, with Plaid second and Labour way down in third.

As for the rest of your list I'd mostly agree, although Llanelli remains an outside bet and Ynys Môn will depend a lot on Peter Roger's decision whether to stand or not.

Heledd Fychan said...

Yes, Aberconwy is a tough one but with the right campaign it is definitely winnable I think. It will be tough, but its a real possibility.

Llanelli is also a difficult one but we have a great candidate and there were some excellent local election results there.

Yes, the Peter Rogers factor is an important one for Anglesey. The Plaid Cymru campaign has to be spot on. Albert won't gain any new supporters and his majority isn't impressive. It still makes me so angry that we lost it in the first place... Grr...

David Thomas said...

We have to keep repeating the challenge which Adam threw out to Labour in the conference - cut the umbilical cord and help to establish Socialism in One Country or be forever Unionist.